The Africa Regional Integration Index measures the extent to which African countries meet their commitments under various pan-African integration frameworks, such as Agenda 2063 and the Abuja Treaty.
ARII covers five dimensions of regional integration: trade integration, productive integration, macroeconomic integration, infrastructural integration, and the free movement of people.
COMESA
How this country ranks within COMESA
ARII uses a 95 percent confidence interval from the mean to identify countries’ performance as low, average, or high. Under linear conditions, a score below 0.333 is classified as low, a score between 0.334 and 0.667 is classified as average, and a score above 0.668 is classified as high.
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CEN-SAD
How this country ranks within CEN-SAD
ARII uses a 95 percent confidence interval from the mean to identify countries’ performance as low, average, or high. Under linear conditions, a score below 0.333 is classified as low, a score between 0.334 and 0.667 is classified as average, and a score above 0.668 is classified as high.
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IGAD
How this country ranks within IGAD
ARII uses a 95 percent confidence interval from the mean to identify countries’ performance as low, average, or high. Under linear conditions, a score below 0.333 is classified as low, a score between 0.334 and 0.667 is classified as average, and a score above 0.668 is classified as high.
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Analysis of Sudan's Performance Across Dimensions
Free movement of persons: According to sources consulted from late 2015[1], the Sudan allows nationals of two other African countries to enter visa-free or with a visa on arrival. The Sudan has ratified the CEN-SAD protocol on free movement of persons, but is yet to ratify the COMESA protocol on the same subject. IGAD does not yet have a protocol on free movement of persons.
Trade integration: The Sudan has low tariffs on imports from IGAD, with an average applied tariff of just 0.2 per cent, based on the latest available data (2013)[2]. The country’s average applied tariff on imports from COMESA is slightly higher, at 0.6 per cent; since, however, COMESA members generally place low tariffs on imports from one another, this means that the Sudan has the seventh highest tariff on intra-COMESA imports out of the 17 COMESA members for which data were available.
Trade between the Sudan and the other regional economic communities of which it is a member could be enhanced (based on the average levels of trade during the period 2010-2013). The country’s imports from CEN-SAD amounted to 1.1 per cent of its GDP in 2013. Furthermore, with imports from COMESA of 1.7 per cent of GDP, the country’s raking on this measure among the 19 COMESA members for which data were available could be improved. Imports by the Sudan from IGAD amount to 0.5 per cent of GDP, placing the country third from last among the seven IGAD members for which data were available.[3]
In terms of intra-regional exports, the Sudan’s performance during the period under review could be stronger. Only 0.1 per cent of its GDP was exported to CEN-SAD in 2013, placing the country 22nd among the 23 CEN-SAD members for which data were available on this measure, based on the latest available data for each country. 0.4 per cent of the GDP of the Sudan was accounted for by exports to COMESA in 2013. 0.4 per cent of its GDP is accounted for by exports to IGAD, meaning that within IGAD, it ranks third from last on this measure among the member countries.[4]
In spite of these seemingly low values for intra-African trade, the Sudan is among the highest ranking countries in terms of its overall trade integration with the regional economic communities of which it is a member. This may be due to its import integration and relatively low tariffs on imports from other African countries, and also to the fact that it performs relatively well when compared with members of the other communities of which it is a member (CEN-SAD, COMESA and IGAD).
Productive integration: The Sudan’s performance in terms of its integration into regional value chains within the regional economic communities of which it is a member can be improved. It scored moderately (twenty-fifth out of all countries in Africa) on the UNCTAD merchandise trade complementarity index in 2012, which measures the extent to which a country’s trade is complementary with that of its partners. The index also measures productive integration, looking at intra-regional trade in intermediate goods. Although trade between the Sudan and other members of the same regional economic community is relatively low, the proportion of intermediate and capital goods is not so low. Thus, in 2013, 68 per cent of its imports from CEN-SAD were intermediate and capital goods, placing the country twelfth out of the 19 countries for which this measure was available. In terms of its integration with COMESA, 63 per cent of imports by the Sudan from the bloc were intermediate or capital goods, which places it eighth on this measure out of the 19 COMESA members for which data were available. Where IGAD is concerned, in that same year 43 per cent of imports by the Sudan from this regional economic community were intermediate or capital goods, placing the country in fifth position on this measure among the seven IGAD members for which data were available.[5]
Regarding exports of intermediate and capital goods, the Sudan also performs moderately:73 per cent of its exports to CEN-SAD members in 2013 were of intermediate and capital goods, which places the country eighth out of the nineteen CEN-SAD members for which data were available; 83 per cent of the exports from the Sudan to COMESA were of intermediate and capital goods in 2013, placing it second among the 19 members of that bloc for which data were available. Lastly, in 2013, 90 per cent of the exports from the Sudan to IGAD were intermediate and capital goods, placing it in second position among the seven members of this bloc for which data were available on that measure.[5]
Infrastructure: In terms of its infrastructural integration with the rest of the regional economic communities of which it is a member, the Sudan performs reasonably well when compared with other members of those regional economic communities. Based on the latest available data (2013), the country’s internet bandwidth per capita of around 1.8 megabits per second per person is the eleventh highest on the continent.[6] Internet bandwidth is important for international communication, both within Africa and beyond, including to support trade in services.
- Free movement of persons: Twenty-fifth in CEN-SAD (score: 0.15), eighteenth in COMESA (score: 0.06). Best-performing country in COMESA – Seychelles (score: 0.70). Eighth in IGAD (score: 0.06).
- Trade integration: Fifth in CEN-SAD (score: 0.58), eighth in COMESA (score: 0.64). Best-performing country in COMESA – Zambia (score: 1). Third in IGAD (score: 0.67).
- Productive integration: Twenty-fourth in CEN-SAD (score: 0.04), eighteenth in COMESA (score: 0.115). Best-performing country in COMESA – Egypt (0.76). Sixth in IGAD (score: 0.04).
- Infrastructure: Fourth in CEN-SAD (score: 0.39), eighth in COMESA (score: 0.48). Best-performing country in COMESA– Seychelles (0.71). Fifth in IGAD (score: 0.58).
- Financial integration and macroeconomic policy convergence: Joint-twenty-seventh in CEN-SAD (score: 0.00), eighteenth in COMESA (score: 0.08). Best-performing country in COMESA – Seychelles (score: 0.50). Joint-seventh in IGAD (score: 0.00).
References
[1] McKinsey, the International Air Transport Association and national websites.
[2] Average applied tariffs were calculated by multiplying the latest tariff data for tariff lines from the Harmonized System 6 system for classification of traded goods from the Market Access Map database developed by the International Trade Centre (www.macmap.org, consulted various times in early 2015) by the share of imports under that tariff line, based on the latest available trade data from the United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database (COMTRADE). These weighted tariffs were then added together to give the average applied tariff.
[3] Trade data taken from the UNCTADStat database, consulted at various points in 2015; GDP data taken from data.un.org, consulted in 2015.
[4] Trade data taken from the UNCTADStat database; GDP data taken from data.un.org.
[5] Source: COMTRADE database,consulted at various points in 2015.
[6] Source: Internet bandwidth data taken from the International Telecommunication Union, consulted in November 2014. Population data taken from the United Nations Population Division, consulted in 2015.